Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

112.29 – 135.29

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

163 – 66

Prediction missed · off by 60 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 248.2 ±12.2

9056CyberHuskies 9056

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 4.96Rank 21Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4761The Robockets

Season APEX 134.5Event APEX 84.18Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5902The Wire Clippers

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 23.15Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 256.7 ±12.2

9443Aluminum Panthers

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 17.21Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9055Knights of Katahdin (Ka TAH din)

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 50.2Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

172Northern Force

Season APEX 122.8Event APEX 67.88Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9056, 4761, 5902

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9056, 4761, 5902

Auto

5.7 6%

Teleop

44.3 49%

Endgame

40.3 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9443, 9055, 172

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9443, 9055, 172

Auto

34.2 28%

Teleop

66.9 55%

Endgame

20.0 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score112.3pts

Blue projected score135.3pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -23
Score range: 79–168
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 229 vs event baseline 182.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

248.2Season APEX256.7

5.7Auto34.2

44.3Teleop66.9

40.3Endgame20

78Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	32
teleop	78	23
endgame	69	11
foul	0	0
total	163	66

Result

Final score

163 – 66

Prediction missed · off by 60 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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