Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

224.94 – 207.59

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

248 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 354.8 ±11

7674RaiderBots

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 90.23Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2648Infinite Loop

Season APEX 121.7Event APEX 85.17Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4473Delta Prime Robotics 4-H

Season APEX 101.4Event APEX 49.54Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 343.2 ±12.8

11157Winnacunnet

Season APEX 44.2Event APEX 21.61Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2523Tech Storm

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 25.16Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

133B.E.R.T.

Season APEX 209.2Event APEX 160.82Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7674, 2648, 4473

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7674, 2648, 4473

Auto

28.4 13%

Teleop

137.1 62%

Endgame

55.7 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11157, 2523, 133

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11157, 2523, 133

Auto

46.3 23%

Teleop

121.3 59%

Endgame

36.3 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.8 · Blue 1.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score224.9pts

Blue projected score207.6pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 17.3
Score range: 176–257
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 493 vs event baseline 180.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

354.8Season APEX343.2

28.4Auto46.3

137.1Teleop121.3

55.7Endgame36.3

37Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	80
teleop	110	101
endgame	71	19
foul	15	45
total	248	245

Result

Final score

248 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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