Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

193.82 – 140.31

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

176 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 29.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 380.3 ±11.2

1350The Rambots

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 20.1Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1721Tidal Force

Season APEX 50.3Event APEX 24.38Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1058PVC Pirates

Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 149.34Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 254.7 ±11

4564Orange Chaos

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 76.77Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3597Robo-Rangers

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 32.55Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4041Iron Tigers

Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 30.99Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1350, 1721, 1058

/ 100 compat

Projected

193.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1350, 1721, 1058

Auto

62.4 35%

Teleop

80.7 45%

Endgame

37.6 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4564, 3597, 4041

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4564, 3597, 4041

Auto

17.5 14%

Teleop

72.6 56%

Endgame

39.2 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.01 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score193.8pts

Blue projected score140.3pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 53.5
Score range: 107–227
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 275 vs event baseline 180.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

380.3Season APEX254.7

62.4Auto17.5

80.7Teleop72.6

37.6Endgame39.2

78Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	71	26
teleop	89	27
endgame	16	46
foul	0	0
total	176	99

Result

Final score

176 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 29.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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