Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

122.82 – 186.03

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

120 – 196

Prediction correct · off by 6.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 199.7 ±12.7

9055Knights of Katahdin (Ka TAH din)

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 49.49Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

811Wild Cards

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 50.64Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2712Power Surge 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 22.69Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 320.8 ±12.8

2648Infinite Loop

Season APEX 121.7Event APEX 85.27Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4546Shockwave

Season APEX 109.3Event APEX 76.68Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2523Tech Storm

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 24.08Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9055, 811, 2712

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9055, 811, 2712

Auto

25.7 22%

Teleop

63.7 53%

Endgame

29.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2648, 4546, 2523

/ 100 compat

Projected

186 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2648, 4546, 2523

Auto

23.2 13%

Teleop

110.9 64%

Endgame

39.0 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score122.8pts

Blue projected score186pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -63.2
Score range: 90–219
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 316 vs event baseline 182.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

199.7Season APEX320.8

25.7Auto23.2

63.7Teleop110.9

29.9Endgame39

65Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	19
teleop	73	68
endgame	28	89
foul	0	20
total	120	196

Result

Final score

120 – 196

Prediction correct · off by 6.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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