Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

99.58 – 465.25

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

106 – 490

Prediction correct · off by 15.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 196 ±12.8

11157Winnacunnet

Season APEX 44.2Event APEX 21.24Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6762Oscats

Season APEX 29Event APEX 10.26Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

172Northern Force

Season APEX 122.8Event APEX 68.08Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 725 ±9.3

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 158.2Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

133B.E.R.T.

Season APEX 209.2Event APEX 158.74Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1058PVC Pirates

Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 148.31Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11157, 6762, 172

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11157, 6762, 172

Auto

28.1 27%

Teleop

48.7 47%

Endgame

26.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6324, 133, 1058

/ 100 compat

Projected

465.3 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6324, 133, 1058

Auto

103.5 23%

Teleop

265.7 58%

Endgame

88.9 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score99.6pts

Blue projected score465.3pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -365.7
Score range: 67–498
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 596 vs event baseline 180.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

196Season APEX725

28.1Auto103.5

48.7Teleop265.7

26.3Endgame88.9

82Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	108
teleop	50	267
endgame	42	115
foul	0	0
total	106	490

Result

Final score

106 – 490

Prediction correct · off by 15.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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