Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

85.38 – 73.9

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

134 – 81

Prediction correct · off by 27.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 251.9 ±12.8

2648Infinite Loop

Season APEX 121.7Event APEX 79.87Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6895Mechanical Madness 4-H

Season APEX 60.1Event APEX 7.14Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9056CyberHuskies 9056

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX -1.63Rank 21Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 233.9 ±12.2

3597Robo-Rangers

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 31.25Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1307Robosaints

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 19.78Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2712Power Surge 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 22.87Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2648, 6895, 9056

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2648, 6895, 9056

Auto

23.3 30%

Teleop

32.9 43%

Endgame

20.2 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3597, 1307, 2712

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3597, 1307, 2712

Auto

3.0 4%

Teleop

30.7 42%

Endgame

39.1 54%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score85.4pts

Blue projected score73.9pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 11.5
Score range: 41–118
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 215 vs event baseline 180.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

251.9Season APEX233.9

23.3Auto3

32.9Teleop30.7

20.2Endgame39.1

80Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	18
teleop	44	36
endgame	27	7
foul	55	20
total	134	81

Result

Final score

134 – 81

Prediction correct · off by 27.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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