Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

378.64 – 84.71

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

561 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 103.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 667.6 ±9.9

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 142.41Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4473Delta Prime Robotics 4-H

Season APEX 101.4Event APEX 33.36Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

238Crusaders

A+

Season APEX 297.5Event APEX 202.87Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 152 ±13.3

8410Oyster River Overdrive

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 36.64Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5902The Wire Clippers

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 25.1Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11157Winnacunnet

Season APEX 44.2Event APEX 22.97Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6324, 4473, 238

/ 100 compat

Projected

378.6 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6324, 4473, 238

Auto

73.7 21%

Teleop

184.7 52%

Endgame

99.3 28%

Strengths

· 238 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8410, 5902, 11157

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8410, 5902, 11157

Auto

18.0 24%

Teleop

44.4 59%

Endgame

13.1 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.75 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score378.6pts

Blue projected score84.7pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 293.9
Score range: 54–410
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 670 vs event baseline 174.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

667.6Season APEX152

73.7Auto18

184.7Teleop44.4

99.3Endgame13.1

45Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	103	20
teleop	337	64
endgame	121	25
foul	0	0
total	561	109

Result

Final score

561 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 103.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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