Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

263.26 – 206.89

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

275 – 304

Prediction missed · off by 54.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 527.7 ±9.8

4761The Robockets

Season APEX 134.5Event APEX 77.74Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2648Infinite Loop

Season APEX 121.7Event APEX 79.9Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1922Oz-Ram

Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 105.62Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.6 ±12.8

9056CyberHuskies 9056

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX -8.74Rank 21Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

133B.E.R.T.

Season APEX 209.2Event APEX 148.95Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4546Shockwave

Season APEX 109.3Event APEX 66.68Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4761, 2648, 1922

/ 100 compat

Projected

263.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4761, 2648, 1922

Auto

16.9 6%

Teleop

173.1 64%

Endgame

79.2 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9056, 133, 4546

/ 100 compat

Projected

206.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9056, 133, 4546

Auto

26.9 16%

Teleop

127.2 73%

Endgame

19.4 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.11 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score263.3pts

Blue projected score206.9pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 56.4
Score range: 176–294
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 579 vs event baseline 173.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

527.7Season APEX388.6

16.9Auto26.9

173.1Teleop127.2

79.2Endgame19.4

79Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	74
teleop	128	157
endgame	116	73
foul	0	0
total	275	304

Result

Final score

275 – 304

Prediction missed · off by 54.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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