Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

150.08 – 78.32

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

132 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 30.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 231.9 ±12.7

4473Delta Prime Robotics 4-H

Season APEX 101.4Event APEX 38.02Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11157Winnacunnet

Season APEX 44.2Event APEX 28Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

69HYPER

Season APEX 86.3Event APEX 84.06Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 225.5 ±13.3

4034Pelham πthons Team 4034

Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 7.44Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1307Robosaints

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 29.61Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8410Oyster River Overdrive

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 41.27Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4473, 11157, 69

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4473, 11157, 69

Auto

25.9 16%

Teleop

83.2 52%

Endgame

49.5 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4034, 1307, 8410

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4034, 1307, 8410

Auto

11.5 15%

Teleop

37.5 50%

Endgame

26.2 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.1 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score150.1pts

Blue projected score78.3pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 71.8
Score range: 46–182
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 167 vs event baseline 175.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

231.9Season APEX225.5

25.9Auto11.5

83.2Teleop37.5

49.5Endgame26.2

18Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	14
teleop	70	21
endgame	42	0
foul	0	0
total	132	35

Result

Final score

132 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 30.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree