Qualification · Qualification 42
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
155.82 – 96.29
68%32%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
127 – 176
Prediction missed · off by 54.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 236 ±12.1
Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 33.52Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 31.75Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 86.3Event APEX 90.55Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 302.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 12.29Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 31.94Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 109.3Event APEX 52.06Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1307, 5902, 69
55
/ 100 compatProjected
155.8 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 1307, 5902, 69
Auto
17.0 13%
Teleop
73.4 54%
Endgame
45.4 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1350, 4041, 4546
44
/ 100 compatProjected
96.3 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 1350, 4041, 4546
Auto
12.3 19%
Teleop
35.5 54%
Endgame
17.6 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 66%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 1.28
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score155.8pts
Blue projected score96.3pts
Red win probability68%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 66%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 59.5
- Score range
- 65–187
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
236Season APEX302.3
17Auto12.3
73.4Teleop35.5
45.4Endgame17.6
10Consistency47
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 31 |
| teleop | 57 | 94 |
| endgame | 52 | 41 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 127 | 176 |
Result
Final score
127 – 176
Prediction missed · off by 54.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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