Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

172.39 – 268.68

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

186 – 367

Prediction correct · off by 56 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 310.7 ±11.7

1721Tidal Force

Season APEX 50.3Event APEX 27.85Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7674RaiderBots

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 70.99Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

58The Riot Crew

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 73.55Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 584 ±9.3

3597Robo-Rangers

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 25.12Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 123.61Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8046LakerBots

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 119.95Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1721, 7674, 58

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1721, 7674, 58

Auto

26.3 15%

Teleop

113.1 65%

Endgame

34.5 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3597, 6324, 8046

/ 100 compat

Projected

268.7 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3597, 6324, 8046

Auto

40.6 16%

Teleop

162.8 64%

Endgame

50.0 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 2.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score172.4pts

Blue projected score268.7pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -96.3
Score range: 141–300
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 553 vs event baseline 172.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

310.7Season APEX584

26.3Auto40.6

113.1Teleop162.8

34.5Endgame50

79Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	28
teleop	93	203
endgame	68	131
foul	5	5
total	186	367

Result

Final score

186 – 367

Prediction correct · off by 56 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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