Qualification · Qualification 36
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
84.74 – 126.89
37%63%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
181 – 158
Prediction missed · off by 63.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 261.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 1.94Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 134.5Event APEX 64.13Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 44.2Event APEX 18.67Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 476.8 ±11.2
Season APEX 70.1Event APEX -17.7Rank 21Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 135.2Event APEX 40.11Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 104.48Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1350, 4761, 11157
37
/ 100 compatProjected
84.7 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 1350, 4761, 11157
Auto
12.2 14%
Teleop
32.9 39%
Endgame
39.7 47%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 68%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9056, 1512, 1922
50
/ 100 compatProjected
126.9 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9056, 1512, 1922
Auto
17.2 14%
Teleop
68.7 58%
Endgame
33.1 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 68%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.47 · Blue 1.89
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score84.7pts
Blue projected score126.9pts
Red win probability37%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 68%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -42.2
- Score range
- 54–158
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
261.6Season APEX476.8
12.2Auto17.2
32.9Teleop68.7
39.7Endgame33.1
76Consistency43
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 28 |
| teleop | 85 | 89 |
| endgame | 73 | 41 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 181 | 158 |
Result
Final score
181 – 158
Prediction missed · off by 63.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree