Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

126.1 – 174.79

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

163 – 136

Prediction missed · off by 37.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 383 ±12.4

11157Winnacunnet

Season APEX 44.2Event APEX 20.02Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9056CyberHuskies 9056

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX -22.69Rank 21Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 128.77Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 255.1 ±12.2

69HYPER

Season APEX 86.3Event APEX 96.32Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9443Aluminum Panthers

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 17.76Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4925The Resistance

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 60.71Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11157, 9056, 6324

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 11157, 9056, 6324

Auto

17.2 15%

Teleop

62.0 55%

Endgame

34.3 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 69, 9443, 4925

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 69, 9443, 4925

Auto

24.1 13%

Teleop

124.0 68%

Endgame

33.2 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.39 · Blue 2.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score126.1pts

Blue projected score174.8pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -48.7
Score range: 95–206
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 299 vs event baseline 173.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

383Season APEX255.1

17.2Auto24.1

62Teleop124

34.3Endgame33.2

62Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	15
teleop	85	75
endgame	26	31
foul	20	15
total	163	136

Result

Final score

163 – 136

Prediction missed · off by 37.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree