Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

249.65 – 127.63

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

292 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 40.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 399.8 ±10.5

69HYPER

Season APEX 86.3Event APEX 63Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3597Robo-Rangers

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 29.66Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1058PVC Pirates

Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 156.99Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 209.1 ±12.7

9056CyberHuskies 9056

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 10.4Rank 21Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

811Wild Cards

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 49.87Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4564Orange Chaos

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 67.36Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 69, 3597, 1058

/ 100 compat

Projected

249.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 69, 3597, 1058

Auto

48.2 19%

Teleop

129.9 52%

Endgame

69.4 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9056, 811, 4564

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9056, 811, 4564

Auto

21.4 18%

Teleop

52.6 45%

Endgame

43.4 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.25 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score249.7pts

Blue projected score127.6pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 122
Score range: 93–285
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 459 vs event baseline 196.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

399.8Season APEX209.1

48.2Auto21.4

129.9Teleop52.6

69.4Endgame43.4

10Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	12
teleop	164	83
endgame	71	62
foul	5	10
total	292	167

Result

Final score

292 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 40.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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