Qualification · Qualification 25
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
116.73 – 56.6
68%32%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
128 – 81
Prediction correct · off by 17.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 298.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 43.08Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 15.04Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 58.61Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 227.9 ±13.3
Season APEX 86.3Event APEX 93.04Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 70.1Event APEX -19.53Rank 21Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.5Event APEX -16.91Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7674, 9443, 4041
52
/ 100 compatProjected
116.7 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 7674, 9443, 4041
Auto
21.4 20%
Teleop
57.6 54%
Endgame
28.1 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 69, 9056, 7314
31
/ 100 compatProjected
56.6 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 69, 9056, 7314
Auto
14.4 31%
Teleop
15.4 33%
Endgame
17.4 37%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.99 · Blue 1.27
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score116.7pts
Blue projected score56.6pts
Red win probability68%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 60.1
- Score range
- 26–148
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
298.2Season APEX227.9
21.4Auto14.4
57.6Teleop15.4
28.1Endgame17.4
52Consistency50
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 10 |
| teleop | 95 | 41 |
| endgame | 11 | 30 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 128 | 81 |
Result
Final score
128 – 81
Prediction correct · off by 17.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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