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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

116.7356.6

68%32%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

12881

Prediction correct · off by 17.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 298.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 43.08Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 15.04Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 110.1Event APEX 58.61Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 227.9 ±13.3
Season APEX 86.3Event APEX 93.04Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 70.1Event APEX -19.53Rank 21Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.5Event APEX -16.91Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7674, 9443, 4041
52
/ 100 compat
Projected
116.7 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 7674, 9443, 4041
Auto
21.4 20%
Teleop
57.6 54%
Endgame
28.1 26%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 69, 9056, 7314
31
/ 100 compat
Projected
56.6 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 69, 9056, 7314
Auto
14.4 31%
Teleop
15.4 33%
Endgame
17.4 37%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.99 · Blue 1.27
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score116.7pts
Blue projected score56.6pts
Red win probability68%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
60.1
Score range
26148
Upset likelihood
32%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 209 vs event baseline 171.4.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

298.2Season APEX227.9
21.4Auto14.4
57.6Teleop15.4
28.1Endgame17.4
52Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1710
teleop9541
endgame1130
foul50
total12881

Result

Final score

12881

Prediction correct · off by 17.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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