Qualification · Qualification 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
279.96 – 165.11
81%19%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
284 – 101
Prediction correct · off by 34.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 419.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 297.5Event APEX 217.73Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 34.2Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.2Event APEX 28.03Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 302.6 ±11
Season APEX 88Event APEX 56.77Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 90.42Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 17.92Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 238, 9055, 11157
83
/ 100 compatProjected
280 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 238, 9055, 11157
Auto
65.4 25%
Teleop
134.5 52%
Endgame
56.6 22%
Strengths
- · 238 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11336, 7674, 1350
60
/ 100 compatProjected
165.1 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 11336, 7674, 1350
Auto
33.2 20%
Teleop
83.8 51%
Endgame
46.5 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.31 · Blue 1.07
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score280pts
Blue projected score165.1pts
Red win probability81%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 64%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 114.8
- Score range
- 130–315
- Upset likelihood
- 19%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
419.2Season APEX302.6
65.4Auto33.2
134.5Teleop83.8
56.6Endgame46.5
61Consistency73
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 79 | 15 |
| teleop | 141 | 46 |
| endgame | 64 | 40 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 284 | 101 |
Result
Final score
284 – 101
Prediction correct · off by 34.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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