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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

279.96165.11

81%19%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

284101

Prediction correct · off by 34.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 419.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 297.5Event APEX 217.73Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 34.2Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.2Event APEX 28.03Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 302.6 ±11
Season APEX 88Event APEX 56.77Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 90.42Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 17.92Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 238, 9055, 11157
83
/ 100 compat
Projected
280 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 238, 9055, 11157
Auto
65.4 25%
Teleop
134.5 52%
Endgame
56.6 22%
Strengths
  • · 238 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11336, 7674, 1350
60
/ 100 compat
Projected
165.1 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 11336, 7674, 1350
Auto
33.2 20%
Teleop
83.8 51%
Endgame
46.5 28%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.31 · Blue 1.07
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score280pts
Blue projected score165.1pts
Red win probability81%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 64%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
114.8
Score range
130315
Upset likelihood
19%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 385 vs event baseline 196.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

419.2Season APEX302.6
65.4Auto33.2
134.5Teleop83.8
56.6Endgame46.5
61Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto7915
teleop14146
endgame6440
foul00
total284101

Result

Final score

284101

Prediction correct · off by 34.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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