Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

235.39 – 151.46

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

190 – 259

Prediction missed · off by 76.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 466.8 ±9.8

1922Oz-Ram

Season APEX 271.5Event APEX 150.88Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4925The Resistance

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 55.68Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1350The Rambots

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 28.83Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 422.7 ±12.4

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 47.76Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8410Oyster River Overdrive

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 65.15Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2523Tech Storm

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 38.55Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1922, 4925, 1350

/ 100 compat

Projected

235.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1922, 4925, 1350

Auto

32.2 13%

Teleop

135.3 56%

Endgame

72.7 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6324, 8410, 2523

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6324, 8410, 2523

Auto

18.5 12%

Teleop

91.2 61%

Endgame

40.5 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.24 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score235.4pts

Blue projected score151.5pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 83.9
Score range: 120–266
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 449 vs event baseline 170.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

466.8Season APEX422.7

32.2Auto18.5

135.3Teleop91.2

72.7Endgame40.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	17
teleop	137	183
endgame	34	54
foul	0	5
total	190	259

Result

Final score

190 – 259

Prediction missed · off by 76.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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