Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

287.37 – 8.65

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

297 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 12 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 487 ±10.5

238Crusaders

A+

Season APEX 297.5Event APEX 137.03Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

58The Riot Crew

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 86.25Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

811Wild Cards

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 64.09Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 186.7 ±13.9

2712Power Surge 4-H Robotics

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 32.61Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4034Pelham πthons Team 4034

Season APEX 55.2Event APEX 7.1Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9056CyberHuskies 9056

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX -31.06Rank 21Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 238, 58, 811

/ 100 compat

Projected

287.4 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 238, 58, 811

Auto

52.2 18%

Teleop

158.6 54%

Endgame

80.7 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2712, 4034, 9056

/ 100 compat

Projected

8.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2712, 4034, 9056

Auto

4.2 0%

Teleop

-13.8 100%

Endgame

2.8 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.69 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score287.4pts

Blue projected score8.7pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 278.7
Score range: -22–318
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 320 vs event baseline 170.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

487Season APEX186.7

52.2Auto4.2

158.6Teleop-13.8

80.7Endgame2.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	2
teleop	136	17
endgame	103	4
foul	0	0
total	297	23

Result

Final score

297 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 12 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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