Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

201.69 – 230.93

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

187 – 148

Prediction missed · off by 48.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 444.8 ±11.7

8046LakerBots

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 139.86Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2523Tech Storm

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 34.18Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1307Robosaints

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 27.65Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 474.7 ±11.2

7314Tornadoes

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX -7.68Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4761The Robockets

Season APEX 134.5Event APEX 84.22Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 154.39Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8046, 2523, 1307

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8046, 2523, 1307

Auto

33.2 18%

Teleop

102.8 56%

Endgame

48.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7314, 4761, 6324

/ 100 compat

Projected

230.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7314, 4761, 6324

Auto

25.8 11%

Teleop

129.4 56%

Endgame

74.0 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.58 · Blue 1.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score201.7pts

Blue projected score230.9pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -29.2
Score range: 167–266
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 335 vs event baseline 196.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

444.8Season APEX474.7

33.2Auto25.8

102.8Teleop129.4

48Endgame74

36Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	16
teleop	118	59
endgame	27	58
foul	10	15
total	187	148

Result

Final score

187 – 148

Prediction missed · off by 48.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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