Final · Finals 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

404.47 – 341.15

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

428 – 320

Prediction correct · off by 22.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 679.8 ±9.3

1512The Big Red

Season APEX 135.2Event APEX 31.38Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

238Crusaders

A+

Season APEX 297.5Event APEX 217.01Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1058PVC Pirates

Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 156.08Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 544.3 ±9.8

133B.E.R.T.

Season APEX 209.2Event APEX 155.78Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3597Robo-Rangers

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 30.27Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 155.1Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1512, 238, 1058

/ 100 compat

Projected

404.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1512, 238, 1058

Auto

83.2 22%

Teleop

206.7 55%

Endgame

86.4 23%

Strengths

· 238 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 133, 3597, 6324

/ 100 compat

Projected

341.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 133, 3597, 6324

Auto

70.4 21%

Teleop

182.7 56%

Endgame

75.7 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.1 · Blue 1.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score404.5pts

Blue projected score341.2pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 63.3
Score range: 306–439
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 748 vs event baseline 194.6.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

679.8Season APEX544.3

83.2Auto70.4

206.7Teleop182.7

86.4Endgame75.7

7Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	78	59
teleop	241	149
endgame	109	97
foul	0	15
total	428	320

Result

Final score

428 – 320

Prediction correct · off by 22.3 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.