Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

384.55 – 340.65

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

449 – 352

Prediction correct · off by 37.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 601 ±10.7

9443Aluminum Panthers

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 17.29Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

238Crusaders

A+

Season APEX 297.5Event APEX 213.85Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1058PVC Pirates

Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 153.41Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 544.3 ±9.8

133B.E.R.T.

Season APEX 209.2Event APEX 155.75Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3597Robo-Rangers

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 29.87Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6324The Blue Devils

Season APEX 268.7Event APEX 155.03Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9443, 238, 1058

/ 100 compat

Projected

384.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9443, 238, 1058

Auto

86.6 24%

Teleop

188.1 52%

Endgame

84.6 24%

Strengths

· 238 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 133, 3597, 6324

/ 100 compat

Projected

340.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 133, 3597, 6324

Auto

69.7 21%

Teleop

187.7 57%

Endgame

70.7 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score384.5pts

Blue projected score340.7pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 43.9
Score range: 306–420
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 801 vs event baseline 192.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

601Season APEX544.3

86.6Auto69.7

188.1Teleop187.7

84.6Endgame70.7

51Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	81	76
teleop	246	144
endgame	102	122
foul	20	10
total	449	352

Result

Final score

449 – 352

Prediction correct · off by 37.9 pts

Match videos

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