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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
NE District Granite State Event

Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

274.16 – 208.87

69%31%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

255 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 18 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 495.3 ±10.5
95Grasshoppers
B
Season APEX 164.4Event APEX 127.43Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9055Knights of Katahdin (Ka TAH din)
D
Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 20.06Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
1073The Force Team
A
Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 126.67Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 655 ±8.7
348Norwell Robotics
B
Season APEX 147.4Event APEX 35.26Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
166Chop Shop
A
Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 95.07Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
131CHAOS
A
Season APEX 268.3Event APEX 78.54Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 95, 9055, 1073
79
/ 100 compat
Projected
274.2 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 95, 9055, 1073
Auto
36.0 13%
Teleop
166.1 61%
Endgame
68.4 25%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 348, 166, 131
75
/ 100 compat
Projected
208.9 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 348, 166, 131
Auto
28.9 14%
Teleop
109.6 55%
Endgame
62.1 31%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.11
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score274.2pts
Blue projected score208.9pts
Red win probability69%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
65.3
Score range
182–301
Upset likelihood
31%
Data cutoff
2026-08-17
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 447 vs event baseline 151.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

495.3Season APEX655
36Auto28.9
166.1Teleop109.6
68.4Endgame62.1
8Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3910
teleop158145
endgame2312
foul3525
total255192

Result

Final score

255 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 18 pts

Match videos

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