Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.1 – 125.75

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

177 – 95

Prediction missed · off by 58.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 351.6 ±11.1

8724Mayhem

Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 61.98Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9096Bad Weather

Season APEX 39.8Event APEX 19.87Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9055Knights of Katahdin (Ka TAH din)

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 8.25Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 283.5 ±11.7

6690MV roboPride

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX -12.83Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

467Center of Mass

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 73.9Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1729Team Inconceivable!

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 64.68Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8724, 9096, 9055

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8724, 9096, 9055

Auto

28.8 33%

Teleop

43.1 49%

Endgame

16.7 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6690, 467, 1729

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6690, 467, 1729

Auto

19.5 16%

Teleop

79.6 64%

Endgame

24.5 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.1pts

Blue projected score125.8pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -35.7
Score range: 64–152
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 272 vs event baseline 142.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

351.6Season APEX283.5

28.8Auto19.5

43.1Teleop79.6

16.7Endgame24.5

10Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	25
teleop	108	21
endgame	25	49
foul	0	0
total	177	95

Result

Final score

177 – 95

Prediction missed · off by 58.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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