Qualification · Qualification 65
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
90.15 – 130.99
38%62%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
101 – 231
Prediction correct · off by 55.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 252 ±11
Season APEX 122.4Event APEX 43.11Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 30.27Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 16.77Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 387.2 ±12.4
Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 116.51Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 16.07Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 39Event APEX -1.59Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3323, 811, 501
44
/ 100 compatProjected
90.1 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 3323, 811, 501
Auto
17.9 21%
Teleop
35.6 41%
Endgame
33.0 38%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1073, 8421, 10138
53
/ 100 compatProjected
131 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 1073, 8421, 10138
Auto
18.3 15%
Teleop
84.0 67%
Endgame
22.2 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.81
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score90.1pts
Blue projected score131pts
Red win probability38%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -40.8
- Score range
- 64–157
- Upset likelihood
- 38%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
252Season APEX387.2
17.9Auto18.3
35.6Teleop84
33Endgame22.2
21Consistency17
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 33 |
| teleop | 50 | 131 |
| endgame | 19 | 57 |
| foul | 5 | 10 |
| total | 101 | 231 |
Result
Final score
101 – 231
Prediction correct · off by 55.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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