Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

260 – 178.95

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

237 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 48 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 576.2 ±10

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 237.18Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4925The Resistance

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 13.33Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11269Batteries Not Included

Season APEX 125.7Event APEX 9.49Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 387.5 ±9.8

467Center of Mass

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 82.06Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

348Norwell Robotics

Season APEX 147.4Event APEX 41.63Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7674RaiderBots

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 55.26Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3467, 4925, 11269

/ 100 compat

Projected

260 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3467, 4925, 11269

Auto

40.6 16%

Teleop

162.6 64%

Endgame

52.8 21%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 467, 348, 7674

/ 100 compat

Projected

179 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 467, 348, 7674

Auto

19.0 11%

Teleop

99.1 56%

Endgame

59.6 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.05 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score260pts

Blue projected score179pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 81.1
Score range: 154–285
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 343 vs event baseline 140.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

576.2Season APEX387.5

40.6Auto19

162.6Teleop99.1

52.8Endgame59.6

34Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	25
teleop	117	30
endgame	69	51
foul	15	0
total	237	106

Result

Final score

237 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 48 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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