Qualification · Qualification 62
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
68.98 – 99.26
41%59%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
205 – 86
Prediction missed · off by 74.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 355.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 39Event APEX -13.33Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 0.81Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 81.5Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 291.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 56.56Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 11Event APEX -4.32Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 122.4Event APEX 47.02Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10138, 9055, 166
42
/ 100 compatProjected
69 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 10138, 9055, 166
Auto
22.6 31%
Teleop
33.2 46%
Endgame
16.1 22%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 319, 1247, 3323
51
/ 100 compatProjected
99.3 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 319, 1247, 3323
Auto
19.9 20%
Teleop
52.7 52%
Endgame
28.1 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.33 · Blue 1.73
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score69pts
Blue projected score99.3pts
Red win probability41%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -30.3
- Score range
- 44–124
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
355.8Season APEX291.1
22.6Auto19.9
33.2Teleop52.7
16.1Endgame28.1
24Consistency5
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 28 | 21 |
| teleop | 108 | 40 |
| endgame | 59 | 25 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 205 | 86 |
Result
Final score
205 – 86
Prediction missed · off by 74.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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