Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

274.04 – 66.35

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

361 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 59.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 492.1 ±10.7

811Wild Cards

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 23.94Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 229.3Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

138Entropy

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 20.8Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 157.9 ±12.7

9096Bad Weather

Season APEX 39.8Event APEX 24.93Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10937River Valley RADs+

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 7.93Rank 32Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

126Gael Force

Season APEX 85.9Event APEX 33.49Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 811, 3467, 138

/ 100 compat

Projected

274 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 811, 3467, 138

Auto

43.5 16%

Teleop

164.5 60%

Endgame

65.5 24%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9096, 10937, 126

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9096, 10937, 126

Auto

13.6 22%

Teleop

36.6 58%

Endgame

12.4 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.45 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score274pts

Blue projected score66.4pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 207.7
Score range: 41–299
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 396 vs event baseline 139.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

492.1Season APEX157.9

43.5Auto13.6

164.5Teleop36.6

65.5Endgame12.4

30Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	15
teleop	214	17
endgame	99	3
foul	0	0
total	361	35

Result

Final score

361 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 59.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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