Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

95.2 – 202.37

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

132 – 207

Prediction correct · off by 20.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 301.3 ±11

1729Team Inconceivable!

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 64.58Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

509Red Storm

Season APEX 99.9Event APEX 33Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9055Knights of Katahdin (Ka TAH din)

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX -2.38Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 384.7 ±10

138Entropy

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 21.29Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7674RaiderBots

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 53.01Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 128.07Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1729, 509, 9055

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1729, 509, 9055

Auto

-5.4 0%

Teleop

68.6 70%

Endgame

34.4 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 138, 7674, 4909

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 138, 7674, 4909

Auto

26.1 13%

Teleop

110.2 55%

Endgame

65.0 32%

Strengths

· 4909 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.97 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score95.2pts

Blue projected score202.4pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -107.2
Score range: 70–227
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 339 vs event baseline 139.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

301.3Season APEX384.7

-5.4Auto26.1

68.6Teleop110.2

34.4Endgame65

12Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	46
teleop	78	111
endgame	41	45
foul	0	5
total	132	207

Result

Final score

132 – 207

Prediction correct · off by 20.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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