Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

163.84 – 249.72

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

215 – 286

Prediction correct · off by 43.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 469.6 ±9.3

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 118.3Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

501The PowerKnights

Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 7.28Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

348Norwell Robotics

Season APEX 147.4Event APEX 38.26Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 518 ±10.8

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 227.79Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

58The Riot Crew

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 34.4Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6690MV roboPride

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX -12.47Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1073, 501, 348

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1073, 501, 348

Auto

34.7 22%

Teleop

82.9 53%

Endgame

40.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3467, 58, 6690

/ 100 compat

Projected

249.7 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3467, 58, 6690

Auto

46.7 19%

Teleop

154.7 62%

Endgame

46.3 19%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.02 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score163.8pts

Blue projected score249.7pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -85.9
Score range: 139–275
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 501 vs event baseline 137.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

469.6Season APEX518

34.7Auto46.7

82.9Teleop154.7

40.3Endgame46.3

26Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	62
teleop	102	179
endgame	81	30
foul	25	15
total	215	286

Result

Final score

215 – 286

Prediction correct · off by 43.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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