Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

41.02 – 48.12

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

7 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 54.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 142.7 ±13.9

7314Tornadoes

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 31.21Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10937River Valley RADs+

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 17.64Rank 32Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10138VikingBot

Season APEX 39Event APEX -7.83Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 353.6 ±10.5

58The Riot Crew

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 26.91Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9055Knights of Katahdin (Ka TAH din)

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX -8.3Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

348Norwell Robotics

Season APEX 147.4Event APEX 29.51Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7314, 10937, 10138

/ 100 compat

Projected

41 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7314, 10937, 10138

Auto

4.7 13%

Teleop

23.6 64%

Endgame

8.6 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 58, 9055, 348

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.1 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 58, 9055, 348

Auto

11.4 23%

Teleop

21.4 43%

Endgame

16.5 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score41pts

Blue projected score48.1pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -7.1
Score range: 16–73
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 130 vs event baseline 137.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

142.7Season APEX353.6

4.7Auto11.4

23.6Teleop21.4

8.6Endgame16.5

2Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	21
teleop	2	69
endgame	1	33
foul	0	0
total	7	123

Result

Final score

7 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 54.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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