Qualification · Qualification 48
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
263.77 – 24.37
95%5%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
216 – 74
Prediction correct · off by 48.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 556.4 ±9.8
Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 69.29Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 70.25Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 164.4Event APEX 124.23Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 205.9 ±12.2
Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 1.59Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.2Event APEX -17.58Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 85.9Event APEX 40.36Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 319, 8724, 95
81
/ 100 compatProjected
263.8 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 319, 8724, 95
Auto
46.3 18%
Teleop
150.5 57%
Endgame
65.8 25%
Strengths
- · 95 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 501, 6690, 126
7
/ 100 compatProjected
24.4 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 501, 6690, 126
Auto
23.3 100%
Teleop
5.0 28%
Endgame
-10.4 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.55
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score263.8pts
Blue projected score24.4pts
Red win probability95%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 239.4
- Score range
- -1–289
- Upset likelihood
- 5%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
556.4Season APEX205.9
46.3Auto23.3
150.5Teleop5
65.8Endgame-10.4
0Consistency67
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 74 | 20 |
| teleop | 127 | 26 |
| endgame | 10 | 23 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 216 | 74 |
Result
Final score
216 – 74
Prediction correct · off by 48.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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