Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

154.73 – 409.64

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

140 – 381

Prediction correct · off by 21.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 434.9 ±11.2

3323Potential Energy

Season APEX 122.4Event APEX 51.39Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

131CHAOS

Season APEX 268.3Event APEX 73.12Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11157Winnacunnet

Season APEX 44.2Event APEX 30.22Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 715.4 ±8.8

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 227.25Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 108.69Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1729Team Inconceivable!

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 73.7Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3323, 131, 11157

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3323, 131, 11157

Auto

19.4 13%

Teleop

90.6 61%

Endgame

37.5 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3467, 1073, 1729

/ 100 compat

Projected

409.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3467, 1073, 1729

Auto

51.9 13%

Teleop

255.0 63%

Endgame

98.9 24%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.66 · Blue 2.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score154.7pts

Blue projected score409.6pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -254.9
Score range: 131–434
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 521 vs event baseline 134.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

434.9Season APEX715.4

19.4Auto51.9

90.6Teleop255

37.5Endgame98.9

0Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	64
teleop	38	262
endgame	66	55
foul	0	0
total	140	381

Result

Final score

140 – 381

Prediction correct · off by 21.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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