Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

160.43 – 89.1

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

147 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 23.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 491.5 ±10.4

7674RaiderBots

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 55.17Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3323Potential Energy

Season APEX 122.4Event APEX 53.17Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 52.09Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231.4 ±11.7

348Norwell Robotics

Season APEX 147.4Event APEX 34.84Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9096Bad Weather

Season APEX 39.8Event APEX 23.43Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11157Winnacunnet

Season APEX 44.2Event APEX 30.83Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7674, 3323, 4905

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7674, 3323, 4905

Auto

26.9 16%

Teleop

99.4 61%

Endgame

37.6 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 348, 9096, 11157

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 348, 9096, 11157

Auto

19.8 23%

Teleop

47.5 56%

Endgame

17.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.99 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score160.4pts

Blue projected score89.1pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 71.3
Score range: 65–184
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 202 vs event baseline 133.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

491.5Season APEX231.4

26.9Auto19.8

99.4Teleop47.5

37.6Endgame17

0Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	17
teleop	94	16
endgame	32	22
foul	0	0
total	147	55

Result

Final score

147 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 23.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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