Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

111.15 – 66.39

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

175 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 595.8 ±9.9

8724Mayhem

Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 59.8Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

138Entropy

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX -6.09Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

131CHAOS

Season APEX 268.3Event APEX 57.44Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 273.8 ±11.7

10138VikingBot

Season APEX 39Event APEX 0.86Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3323Potential Energy

Season APEX 122.4Event APEX 60.7Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4925The Resistance

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 4.83Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8724, 138, 131

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8724, 138, 131

Auto

20.3 19%

Teleop

54.3 51%

Endgame

30.9 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10138, 3323, 4925

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10138, 3323, 4925

Auto

16.3 25%

Teleop

50.5 78%

Endgame

-1.9 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.8 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score111.2pts

Blue projected score66.4pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 44.8
Score range: 43–134
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 220 vs event baseline 128.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

595.8Season APEX273.8

20.3Auto16.3

54.3Teleop50.5

30.9Endgame-1.9

97Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	16
teleop	103	17
endgame	50	12
foul	0	0
total	175	45

Result

Final score

175 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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