Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

97.12 – 130.08

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

136 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 44.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 342.4 ±12.2

811Wild Cards

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 20.21Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 47.74Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11157Winnacunnet

Season APEX 44.2Event APEX 29.17Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 418.1 ±10.4

7674RaiderBots

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 42.71Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

58The Riot Crew

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 41.37Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

319Big Bad Bob

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 46Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 811, 4905, 11157

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 811, 4905, 11157

Auto

23.2 24%

Teleop

48.7 51%

Endgame

23.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7674, 58, 319

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7674, 58, 319

Auto

20.8 16%

Teleop

68.4 52%

Endgame

42.3 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score97.1pts

Blue projected score130.1pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -33
Score range: 74–153
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 316 vs event baseline 126.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

342.4Season APEX418.1

23.2Auto20.8

48.7Teleop68.4

23.6Endgame42.3

54Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	35
teleop	60	87
endgame	38	58
foul	5	0
total	136	180

Result

Final score

136 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 44.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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