Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

68.87 – 269.39

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 76.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 178.5 ±12.2

10937River Valley RADs+

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 37.42Rank 32Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1277The Robotomies

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 29.16Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

501The PowerKnights

Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 2.29Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 485.6 ±9.8

3323Potential Energy

Season APEX 122.4Event APEX 81.06Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1729Team Inconceivable!

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 80.91Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

166Chop Shop

Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 107.42Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10937, 1277, 501

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.9 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10937, 1277, 501

Auto

23.8 39%

Teleop

14.6 24%

Endgame

22.1 37%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3323, 1729, 166

/ 100 compat

Projected

269.4 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3323, 1729, 166

Auto

28.3 10%

Teleop

178.6 65%

Endgame

69.1 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.59 · Blue 2.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score68.9pts

Blue projected score269.4pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -200.5
Score range: 46–292
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 185 vs event baseline 126.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

178.5Season APEX485.6

23.8Auto28.3

14.6Teleop178.6

22.1Endgame69.1

51Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	23
teleop	16	85
endgame	10	31
foul	0	5
total	41	144

Result

Final score

41 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 76.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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