Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

70.35 – 12.36

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

155 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 52.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 451.7 ±10.5

126Gael Force

Season APEX 85.9Event APEX 11.64Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4925The Resistance

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX -6.13Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 64.84Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.5 ±13.9

6690MV roboPride

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX -16.86Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8421CRUSADERS

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 9.3Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7314Tornadoes

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 19.92Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 126, 4925, 1073

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 126, 4925, 1073

Auto

17.2 28%

Teleop

30.7 49%

Endgame

14.2 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6690, 8421, 7314

/ 100 compat

Projected

12.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6690, 8421, 7314

Auto

7.3 100%

Teleop

2.1 100%

Endgame

-7.7 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.88 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score70.4pts

Blue projected score12.4pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 58
Score range: -11–93
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 187 vs event baseline 127.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

451.7Season APEX217.5

17.2Auto7.3

30.7Teleop2.1

14.2Endgame-7.7

115Consistency61

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	3
teleop	121	18
endgame	19	1
foul	0	10
total	155	32

Result

Final score

155 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 52.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree