Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

29.09 – 314.95

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

52 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 284.4 ±11.2

10138VikingBot

Season APEX 39Event APEX 6.65Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11175Tidal Shock

Season APEX 98Event APEX -7.32Rank 31Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

348Norwell Robotics

Season APEX 147.4Event APEX 29.76Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 672.3 ±8.8

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 210.9Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8724Mayhem

Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 67.19Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

509Red Storm

Season APEX 99.9Event APEX 36.86Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10138, 11175, 348

/ 100 compat

Projected

29.1 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10138, 11175, 348

Auto

17.4 66%

Teleop

14.4 55%

Endgame

-5.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3467, 8724, 509

/ 100 compat

Projected

315 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3467, 8724, 509

Auto

52.4 17%

Teleop

182.9 59%

Endgame

75.7 24%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.45 · Blue 2.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score29.1pts

Blue projected score315pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -285.9
Score range: 6–338
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 342 vs event baseline 125.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

284.4Season APEX672.3

17.4Auto52.4

14.4Teleop182.9

-5.6Endgame75.7

55Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	27
teleop	19	185
endgame	15	78
foul	0	0
total	52	290

Result

Final score

52 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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