Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.71 – 163.12

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47 – 160

Prediction correct · off by 13.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 207.6 ±12.7

126Gael Force

Season APEX 85.9Event APEX 28.6Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11157Winnacunnet

Season APEX 44.2Event APEX 18.23Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9055Knights of Katahdin (Ka TAH din)

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 23.88Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 336.7 ±12.2

8421CRUSADERS

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 19.62Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

95Grasshoppers

Season APEX 164.4Event APEX 130.35Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1277The Robotomies

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 13.15Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 126, 11157, 9055

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 126, 11157, 9055

Auto

21.6 31%

Teleop

31.2 45%

Endgame

16.6 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8421, 95, 1277

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.1 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8421, 95, 1277

Auto

28.6 19%

Teleop

85.3 56%

Endgame

38.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score70.7pts

Blue projected score163.1pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -92.4
Score range: 42–192
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 207 vs event baseline 162.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

207.6Season APEX336.7

21.6Auto28.6

31.2Teleop85.3

16.6Endgame38.9

0Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	20
teleop	22	80
endgame	8	40
foul	0	20
total	47	160

Result

Final score

47 – 160

Prediction correct · off by 13.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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