Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

173.06 – 56.35

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

223 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 29.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 504.5 ±9.8

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 52.8Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

58The Riot Crew

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 44.06Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3323Potential Energy

Season APEX 122.4Event APEX 76.2Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 338.9 ±11.7

4925The Resistance

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX -3.23Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7674RaiderBots

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 51.24Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8421CRUSADERS

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 8.34Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1073, 58, 3323

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.1 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1073, 58, 3323

Auto

16.5 10%

Teleop

120.6 71%

Endgame

33.4 20%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4925, 7674, 8421

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4925, 7674, 8421

Auto

-6.1 0%

Teleop

37.2 77%

Endgame

17.2 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.26 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score173.1pts

Blue projected score56.4pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 116.7
Score range: 34–195
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 270 vs event baseline 124.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

504.5Season APEX338.9

16.5Auto-6.1

120.6Teleop37.2

33.4Endgame17.2

80Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	5
teleop	133	32
endgame	56	5
foul	0	5
total	223	47

Result

Final score

223 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 29.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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