Qualification · Qualification 27
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
42.13 – 48.15
48%52%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
129 – 58
Prediction missed · off by 48.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 232.5 ±11
Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 70.83Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.8Event APEX -16.07Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39.8Event APEX -12.63Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 233.2 ±12.7
Season APEX 108.3Event APEX 26.37Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 39Event APEX 8.14Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 85.9Event APEX 13.64Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1729, 501, 9096
27
/ 100 compatProjected
42.1 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 1729, 501, 9096
Auto
21.4 47%
Teleop
21.4 47%
Endgame
2.4 5%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2342, 10138, 126
28
/ 100 compatProjected
48.2 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 2342, 10138, 126
Auto
26.3 54%
Teleop
12.4 26%
Endgame
9.8 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.52
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score42.1pts
Blue projected score48.2pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -6
- Score range
- 19–71
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
232.5Season APEX233.2
21.4Auto26.3
21.4Teleop12.4
2.4Endgame9.8
24Consistency75
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 28 | 11 |
| teleop | 67 | 30 |
| endgame | 24 | 12 |
| foul | 10 | 5 |
| total | 129 | 58 |
Result
Final score
129 – 58
Prediction missed · off by 48.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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