Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

236.47 – 131.22

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

253 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 493.1 ±10.7

1277The Robotomies

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 21.06Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9055Knights of Katahdin (Ka TAH din)

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX -3.69Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 219.1Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 271.8 ±11.4

811Wild Cards

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 41.17Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6690MV roboPride

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX -14.19Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 104.24Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1277, 9055, 3467

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1277, 9055, 3467

Auto

37.8 17%

Teleop

130.3 57%

Endgame

60.7 27%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 811, 6690, 4909

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 811, 6690, 4909

Auto

21.1 16%

Teleop

74.2 57%

Endgame

35.3 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score236.5pts

Blue projected score131.2pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 105.3
Score range: 109–258
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 353 vs event baseline 123.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

493.1Season APEX271.8

37.8Auto21.1

130.3Teleop74.2

60.7Endgame35.3

85Consistency142

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	27
teleop	140	33
endgame	78	40
foul	0	0
total	253	100

Result

Final score

253 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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