Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 151.6

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 33.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 175.7 ±13.3

1247Blood, Sweat, and Gears

Season APEX 11Event APEX 13.16Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

138Entropy

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX -18.56Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7314Tornadoes

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 4.22Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 527.5 ±11

95Grasshoppers

Season APEX 164.4Event APEX 104.31Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11269Batteries Not Included

Season APEX 125.7Event APEX -14.78Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 62.07Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1247, 138, 7314

/ 100 compat

Projected

-1.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1247, 138, 7314

Auto

2.3 100%

Teleop

-7.6 0%

Endgame

5.3 100%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 95, 11269, 4905

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 95, 11269, 4905

Auto

21.0 14%

Teleop

82.0 56%

Endgame

44.1 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-1.2pts

Blue projected score151.6pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -151.6
Score range: -22–174
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 219 vs event baseline 122.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

175.7Season APEX527.5

2.3Auto21

-7.6Teleop82

5.3Endgame44.1

46Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	2	46
teleop	30	107
endgame	16	18
foul	0	0
total	48	171

Result

Final score

48 – 171

Prediction correct · off by 33.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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