Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

195.71 – 0.91

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

314 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 94.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 535.4 ±9.8

95Grasshoppers

Season APEX 164.4Event APEX 83.06Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

166Chop Shop

Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 75.43Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7674RaiderBots

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 37.22Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 397 ±11.7

6690MV roboPride

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX -14.29Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9055Knights of Katahdin (Ka TAH din)

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX -11.23Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

131CHAOS

Season APEX 268.3Event APEX 26.43Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 95, 166, 7674

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.7 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 95, 166, 7674

Auto

31.3 16%

Teleop

103.5 54%

Endgame

58.3 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6690, 9055, 131

/ 100 compat

Projected

0.9 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6690, 9055, 131

Auto

6.7 100%

Teleop

-7.4 0%

Endgame

5.0 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score195.7pts

Blue projected score0.9pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 194.8
Score range: -21–218
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 385 vs event baseline 121.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

535.4Season APEX397

31.3Auto6.7

103.5Teleop-7.4

58.3Endgame5

68Consistency167

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	7
teleop	203	31
endgame	74	18
foul	0	15
total	314	71

Result

Final score

314 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 94.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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