Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

251.68 – 160.12

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

361 – 78

Prediction correct · off by 95.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 484.7 ±10.2

7314Tornadoes

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 26.21Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 105.34Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 120.13Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 557.6 ±10.5

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 51.76Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

126Gael Force

Season APEX 85.9Event APEX 42.73Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8724Mayhem

Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 65.63Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7314, 1073, 4909

/ 100 compat

Projected

251.7 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7314, 1073, 4909

Auto

32.6 13%

Teleop

148.9 61%

Endgame

62.0 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4905, 126, 8724

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4905, 126, 8724

Auto

41.9 26%

Teleop

99.7 62%

Endgame

18.9 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.18 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score251.7pts

Blue projected score160.1pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 91.6
Score range: 135–277
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 439 vs event baseline 136.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

484.7Season APEX557.6

32.6Auto41.9

148.9Teleop99.7

62Endgame18.9

3Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	31
teleop	205	39
endgame	92	8
foul	5	0
total	361	78

Result

Final score

361 – 78

Prediction correct · off by 95.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.