Qualification · Qualification 17
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
9.69 – 236.04
6%94%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
71 – 194
Prediction correct · off by 51.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 281.5 ±11.6
Season APEX 108.3Event APEX 16.75Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 112.4Event APEX -27.68Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 20.62Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 451.1 ±10.8
Season APEX 44.2Event APEX 30.59Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 185.29Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 20.16Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2342, 4925, 811
11
/ 100 compatProjected
9.7 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 2342, 4925, 811
Auto
-4.4 0%
Teleop
3.9 45%
Endgame
9.1 100%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11157, 3467, 501
89
/ 100 compatProjected
236 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 11157, 3467, 501
Auto
41.9 19%
Teleop
130.8 58%
Endgame
53.4 24%
Strengths
- · 3467 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.56 · Blue 2.52
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score9.7pts
Blue projected score236pts
Red win probability6%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 40%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -226.3
- Score range
- -12–258
- Upset likelihood
- 6%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
281.5Season APEX451.1
-4.4Auto41.9
3.9Teleop130.8
9.1Endgame53.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 8 | 67 |
| teleop | 39 | 97 |
| endgame | 24 | 20 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 71 | 194 |
Result
Final score
71 – 194
Prediction correct · off by 51.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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