Qualification · Qualification 16
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
129.17 – 48.55
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
31 – 134
Prediction missed · off by 91.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 253.2 ±12.4
Season APEX 11Event APEX 38.83Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 147.4Event APEX 45.11Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 45.23Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 410 ±11.1
Season APEX 93.2Event APEX -21.98Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 23.45Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 47.08Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1247, 348, 8421
65
/ 100 compatProjected
129.2 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 1247, 348, 8421
Auto
7.9 6%
Teleop
75.1 61%
Endgame
40.3 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 138, 1277, 166
32
/ 100 compatProjected
48.6 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 138, 1277, 166
Auto
25.6 58%
Teleop
12.4 28%
Endgame
6.4 14%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.92 · Blue 1.03
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score129.2pts
Blue projected score48.6pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 45%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 80.6
- Score range
- 27–151
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
253.2Season APEX410
7.9Auto25.6
75.1Teleop12.4
40.3Endgame6.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 7 | 22 |
| teleop | 19 | 61 |
| endgame | 5 | 51 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 31 | 134 |
Result
Final score
31 – 134
Prediction missed · off by 91.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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