Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
143.63 – 20.31
82%18%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
92 – 44
Prediction correct · off by 37.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 432.2 ±11.2
Season APEX 268.3Event APEX 32.74Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 44.21Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 66.68Rank 32Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 383.5 ±11.2
Season APEX 98Event APEX 7.84Rank 31Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 49.37Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.2Event APEX -36.9Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 131, 7674, 10937
69
/ 100 compatProjected
143.6 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 131, 7674, 10937
Auto
14.2 11%
Teleop
83.5 62%
Endgame
36.5 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11175, 8724, 6690
14
/ 100 compatProjected
20.3 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 11175, 8724, 6690
Auto
11.1 44%
Teleop
23.6 93%
Endgame
-9.2 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 0.78
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score143.6pts
Blue projected score20.3pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample166alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 123.3
- Score range
- -4–168
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
432.2Season APEX383.5
14.2Auto11.1
83.5Teleop23.6
36.5Endgame-9.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 6 | 40 |
| teleop | 39 | 4 |
| endgame | 47 | 0 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 92 | 44 |
Result
Final score
92 – 44
Prediction correct · off by 37.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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