Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

87.77 – 142.98

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

136 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 34.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 323 ±11

58The Riot Crew

Season APEX 128.7Event APEX 39.22Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

467Center of Mass

Season APEX 108.4Event APEX 36.67Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

126Gael Force

Season APEX 85.9Event APEX 11.88Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 407.9 ±10

3323Potential Energy

Season APEX 122.4Event APEX 34.29Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 92.86Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11269Batteries Not Included

Season APEX 125.7Event APEX 15.83Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 58, 467, 126

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 58, 467, 126

Auto

21.0 23%

Teleop

48.2 54%

Endgame

20.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3323, 4909, 11269

/ 100 compat

Projected

143 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3323, 4909, 11269

Auto

25.9 18%

Teleop

91.6 63%

Endgame

27.4 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score87.8pts

Blue projected score143pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -55.2
Score range: 65–166
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 300 vs event baseline 130.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

323Season APEX407.9

21Auto25.9

48.2Teleop91.6

20.5Endgame27.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	23
teleop	78	96
endgame	26	45
foul	5	0
total	136	164

Result

Final score

136 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 34.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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