Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

89.76 – 146

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

169 – 57

Prediction missed · off by 84.1 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches) — wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceΣ Season APEX 184.2 ±13.3

509Red Storm

Season APEX 36.9Event APEX 4.06Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 140Event APEX 41.66Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10937River Valley RADs+

Season APEX 7.3Event APEX 44.04Rank 32Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceΣ Season APEX 235.4 ±12.7

131CHAOS

Season APEX 113Event APEX 48.81Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2342Team Phoenix

Season APEX 71.6Event APEX 52.71Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

501The PowerKnights

Season APEX 50.8Event APEX 44.48Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -56.2
Score range: 68–168
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-07-01
Model: apex-0.2.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 226 vs event baseline 120.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

184.2Season APEX235.4

4.6Auto26.4

56.5Teleop70.8

28.7Endgame45.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	14
teleop	103	19
endgame	38	19
foul	15	5
total	169	57

Result

Final score

169 – 57

Prediction missed · score err 84.1

FIRST/TBA score reconciliation:

agree

Match videos

Watch (youtube)